Sarah Hartman has finished the middle leg of her exploration of the East Arm of the Great Slave Lake. She has been paddling since Saturday, August 20. She is expected to rendezvous with a bush plane on Saturday, September 3, for a flight back to her base at Narwal Northern Adventures in Yellowknife, NWT. You can follow her progress via these coordinates she sent from her SPOT:
August 25: http://fms.ws/5nqOS/62.86047N/109.28127W
August 26: http://fms.ws/5oQNr/62.89853N/109.63383W
August 27: http://fms.ws/5p4pH/62.94655N/110.19386W
August 28: http://fms.ws/5pfoM/62.92435N/110.66667W
August 29: http://fms.ws/5qEuB/62.92448N/110.66664W
At the beginning of this middle leg of her trip Sarah was at the mouth of the Hoarfrost River, likely visiting with one or more members of the Olesen family, the only permanent residents on McLeod Bay, a stretch of water roughly 50 miles long and 10 miles wide. The chart shows a series of rapids as the Hoarfrost River approaches the Bay, and I suspect that Sarah explored them.
Since then, Sarah has retraced her earlier route, paddling west along the north shore of McLeod Day. She has covered roughly 45 miles and has spent the past two days at a bay called Thompson Landing.
This is complete speculation on my part, but it is possible that Sarah is contemplating a seven mile crossing of the bay to the tip of the Kahochella Peninsula, which points like a finger into McLeod Bay. There are islands to the east and west of such a southward crossing, and the promise of hitting either Shelter Bay or the sheltered Lost Channel, just around Gibraltar Point, the very tip of the "finger."
Such a crossing would reduce the distance back to the Taltheilei Narrows and into the Hearn Channel, where Sarah likely hopes to get by the time she is due to be picked up by the bush plane on Saturday. Hopefully, she will continue to exercise good judgment and not let the daunting fact that the bush plane costs about $20/mile cause her to rush or take risky shortcuts. For all I know, she has found a hot springs and is going to enjoy her solitude and let the bush plane take care of itself.
The weather forecast for Yellowknife, NWT from Weather Underground is somewhat daunting. Yellowknife is on the North Arm of the Great Slave Lake, over 100 miles to the west from Sarah's current location. The forecast for tomorow (Tuesday) is for rain and winds up to 20 mph from the northeast. Such conditions mean an offshore quartering headwind if she continues along the shore or a wind-assisted crossing where conditions will build quickly as she crosses and a potentially tough surf landing along the cliff-lined shore of the Kahochella Peninsula. Tomorrow might be a good day for her to sit tight and soak in those mythical hot springs. From Wednesday to Saturday according to Weather Underground Sarah should get no precipitation. Temperatures will peak in the mid-50s with lows in the mid-40s. Wednesday will see winds as high as 25 mph. Winds will taper off from there and be largely at her back.
The Environment Canada forecast for the North Arm is much more troubling. There is a gale warning in effect. Winds are predicted to hit 35 mph by Tuesday night. Winds will taper off by Wednesday morning, but after a brief respite, rise to 25 mph by Thursday night and increase to 30 mph by late Friday. If these winds continue into Saturday it may make it difficult for the bush plane to pick up Sarah.
The forecast for the East Arm, where Sarah is located, is slightly better. There is a strong wind warning in effect, rather than a gale warning. Winds are forecast to top out at 25 mph.
These conditions, if they pan out, could make it difficult for Sarah to make much progress in reducing her distance from Yellowknife. In addition, as anyone who has camped through sustained 35 mph winds, or even 25 mph winds, can attest, those conditions are brutal, especially when the temperatures are in the 40s. It is hard to cook, hard to sleep, and hard to stay warm. The wind can tear tents, break tent poles, and wreak general havoc.
These forecasts indicate that Sarah may have only one good paddling day left between now and her scheduled pick-up on Saturday. That window of good paddling may close quickly as the next bit of high wind moves in. Hopefully, she will continue to exercise caution and use good judgment. She will have to be extra alert given the volatility of the weather.
Given the forecast, I will try to provide an update on a daily basis.
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